The MacroTourist Disclaimer
I am a private investor who used to work for a big Canadian bank as a derivative index trader. I have been writing a journal for myself for many years. From time to time I have shared these posts with colleagues and friends. Many have encouraged me to write on a more regular basis and to allow others to read it. So, this journal is a response to these suggestions.
This journal is simply a collection of my ideas and thoughts. They are not recommendations to buy or sell any specific securities. You have to be responsible for your own trades. For my colleagues in the investment industry who understand how trading works, this goes without saying, but for those that don’t do this for a living, I just want to make it clear that you need to make your own decisions. I fully expect a good percentage of my trades not to work. Dealing with these trades is what makes a good trader a great trader (and don’t bother asking me how to be a great trader either, as I am still trying to figure that part out as well).
As you come to read my ideas and thoughts, you will realize that my style is almost the opposite of a trend follower. In fact, during a big move, I am often trying to catch the falling knives. It is a both a strength and weakness, and as of yet, I am unsure if the missing fingers are worth it. You might also notice that I rely on other investors for a fair amount of the nitty gritty detailed stock analysis. When it comes to balance sheet anaylsys, I am no David Einhorn or Prem Watsa, but when they are buying a security in a name that I have a bigger macro themed view on, I am not ashamed to simply ride their coat tails. However I am extremely picky about whose analysis I rely on. I don’t simply read Seeking Alpha or Citibank’s research report and climb aboard an idea. I need to respect and trust the person whose idea I am emulating. These great investors trade with their own timeframe and risk preference, therefore I only rely on them to point me in the right direction, not to tell me when to buy or sell.
You might be asking yourself, well why bother reading me at all? The benefits that I offer can be best summed up by Michael Steinhardt, who in classic book Market Wizards, described one of his friends this way – “There is a very good investor I speak to frequently who said, ‘All I bring to the party is twenty-eight years of mistakes.’” Although I haven’t been trading for 28 years, I am getting closer than I would like to admit and I have made way more mistakes than I would care to remember. This journal is a way for me to share those mistakes with you.