Friday, September 22, 2017

Tailwinds' Newsletter brings you macro-oriented views on the latest global news.

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The Hurricane Effect

While I'm writing this article, Hurricane Irma is bearing down on Florida, bringing its 175 MPH winds and huge storm surge to the low-lying...

August Performance Review…Bring Back the Traders!

Well, we still have one more day of (slow) trading before Labor Day, however I feel comfortable in saying goodbye to the Dog Days...

Is the Dollar Going to Enter Bear Market Territory?

We espouse two themes at Tailwinds Research. The first theme is that small cap stocks should be a piece of your portfolio and, when...

Sell US – Buy Japan?

With the gong show occurring in Washington, it’s amazing anyone has the courage to write a blue ticket for any American assets. But we...

Can Trump Make a Deal With the New Asian Hegemon?

"There is a military option: to destroy North Korea’s nuclear program and North Korea itself…If there is going to be a war to stop...

The Dangers of “Diversification”

Most investors feel that they can't beat the returns of the market by picking their own stocks. History has shown us, and index fund...

Big Tech — No Good Deed Goes Unpunished

The markets are at an analytical crossroad. Central banks around the world have all signaled that their bouts of monetary largess will be coming...

Preparing For The Dog Days of Summer

My mentor from summers working on the Boston Stock Exchange, Geno Eng, used to always remind me of one simple fact of trading. "Markets...

Will Amazon Become a Prime Target for Lawmakers?

I love Amazon. I have a Prime account and hardly a day goes by without a box showing up on our doorstep. The convenience...

Making Sense of Coin Offerings…

The path to liquidity for tech companies used to follow a very simple model. Raise money privately, build up sales and earnings, then go...

Things Are Starting to Get Interesting: June Review/July Preview

Elon Musk is the master of disruptive technologies. Most everyone on the planet has, by now, heard of Tesla, a company that is turning...

From Uber to Amazon

Since issuing the last Dismal Optimist on May 12, tech stocks roared upward. That is until the afternoon of Friday June 9 when tech...

Odds Rising For Recession, Falling Stocks And Inverting Yields

Yesterday the Federal Reserve hiked rates .25%. It is the second time they have tightened this year. And Yellen even laid out the foundation...

Ditching The Paris Climate Agreement Won’t Slow CleanTech

In a widely anticipated move, President Trump abandoned the Paris Climate Agreement this week. Widely hailed as a landmark agreement that would set in...

Time to Run With the Bulls in Emerging Markets

Every July, for two straight weeks, they run bulls through the streets of Pamplona, Spain. The bulls are strong and fast, basically cutting a...

Time to Book Your European Vacation

Two months ago we went to Italy to celebrate our 25th wedding anniversary. The Mrs. and I love to travel to Europe and have...

THE Disruptive Leader: Why Tesla Is Valued More Than Ford

In the last month, the market cap of Tesla raced past that of Ford and has nudged up against the value of GM. All...

Loonie for the Canadian Dollar

This past week, our Tweeter in Command, President Trump, turned his attention to Canada. Whereas in the past, getting the President’s attention wasn’t necessarily...

The Fourth Industrial Revolution

J C Penney is closing 138 stores. The Limited is closing all 250 stores. Macy's is closing 68 stores. Radio Shack is closing 552 stores. Sears/Kmart is closing...

Tailwinds Select Portfolio ~ March & Q1 Performance Review

Well, we've come to the end of the 1st quarter and it has ended with a bang. As of today, the Select Portfolio is...

Second Quarter Portfolio Preview…Significant Catalysts on Horizon

The end of the first quarter always coincides with the end of March Madness. The frenzied first two weeks of the NCAA tournament are...

On Our Way to the (Fr)Exit?

This year is our 25th wedding anniversary and, to celebrate, we are heading over to Europe. A big trip to celebrate a big anniversary....

Rates on the Rise

  “At our meeting later this month, the Committee will evaluate whether employment and inflation are continuing to evolve in line with our expectations, in...

Gold Trade Continues to Shine…For How Long?

Sometimes even I get things right. On December 14th, I suggested that investors should be looking at gold for a trade. At that time,...

Bitcoin Emerging As a Golden Investment?

For years I’ve been in the Jamie Dimon camp on Bitcoin. A brilliant thinker and the leader of the world’s largest bank, Jamie has...

Buying Small Cap, The Trump Play, Part II

The great news about small and micro cap stocks is that they outperform the market. Significantly. According to AQR Capital, such firms have outperformed...

How to Play the Trump Card, Part 1

Hillary Clinton announced her candidacy 544 days before the election. One week into his presidency, Donald Trump continues to dominate the headlines and Twitter...

SNAP…an IPO Market Review and Preview

Sometime in the next few months Snapchat will go public. This event is destined to be one of the biggest stock market stories of...

Our Economic Future…Clear Road, or Danger Around The Corner???

Last night my buddy James and I went for a night ride. We headed out for Pine Mountain, a challenging ride on a good...

The Bull Case for Biotech in 2017

The first conference of 2017 is also one of the largest and most important. Still taking place in the hopelessly inappropriately sized Westin St....

Where to Invest in 2017, and What to Avoid

As I sat in the airport, about to leave Cabo for the rainy reality of Northern California, I wanted to take a victory lap...

Time to Be “Putin” More Money into Russia???

Economic cycles are, by definition, cyclical, as are markets. Much as the sun warms the earth during the day, then things cool at night,...

Where Do We Go From Here?

Short term, I’m very bullish on the stock market. We have, of course, the “January Effect”, a yearly phenomenon in which the market generally...

Sorry Donald, It’s Not a Trump Rally…New Highs are Caused by Hedge Fund Woes

Sometimes it pays to be in the right place at the right time. The guy whose seat gets called for the million-dollar half-court shot....

The Best Way to Play Higher Oil Prices

After several years of overproduction and weak prices, oil bottomed in 2016. At $51 a barrel, oil is up over 37% during 2016 and...
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